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Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 at 3.30am UK
BC Place Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Vancouver
2 - 0
Earthquakes

Picault (35'), Armstrong (86')
Priso-Mbongue (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Akapo (26'), Skahan (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Dallas
Sunday, September 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose have the worst defence in MLS, conceding a league-high 63 goals, and we suspect the Caps' strong transitional game will enable them to find the back of the net several times this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 18.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
60.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 20.63%18.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.74% (0.0010000000000048 0)39.26% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.41% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)12.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.48% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)38.52%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41% (0.0020000000000095 0)34.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.69% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 60.75%
    San Jose Earthquakes 18.61%
    Draw 20.63%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.92%
2-0 @ 9.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.88%
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.57%
4-0 @ 3.37%
4-2 @ 1.9%
5-1 @ 1.49%
5-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 60.75%
1-1 @ 9.55%
2-2 @ 5.27%
0-0 @ 4.33%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.63%
1-2 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.6%
0-2 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 1.86%
1-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 18.61%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Earthquakes

Vancouver Whitecaps
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-2
Vancouver

Wilson (62'), Judd (72'), Morales (80'), Thompson (90+3')
Schopf (74'), Ahmed (86')
Picault (80')
Aug 21, 2023 3.30am
Vancouver
0-1
Earthquakes

Sartini (40'), Gauld (90+1')
Espinoza (43')
Monteiro (39'), Baldisimo (62'), Tsakiris (80'), Brito (82'), Marie (89'), Rodrigues (90+1')
Mar 5, 2023 3.30am
May 15, 2022 12am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami32208472472568
2Columbus Crew31169662362657
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati321751055441156
4Orlando City32147115547849
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls32111475245747
6New York City FCNY City32138115146547
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC32129114137445
8CF MontrealMontreal321010124662-1640
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia32910135950937
10DC United32910135066-1637
11Toronto33114184060-2037
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta32810144247-534
13Nashville SCNashville3289153451-1733
14New England RevolutionNew England3194183462-2831
15Chicago Fire3379174059-1930

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy32187766471961
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles31167855411455
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake321411762471553
4Seattle SoundersSeattle32158949341553
5Houston DynamoHouston32149945351051
6Colorado RapidsColorado32155125956350
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver31138105044647
8Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd32137125348546
9Portland TimbersPortland32129116455945
10Austin FCAustin32109133544-939
11Dallas32107155255-337
12St Louis City32713124659-1334
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3287175061-1131
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3263234074-3421


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