MX23RW : Saturday, October 12 16:04:27| >> :60:1029:1029:
Croatia national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Opus Arena
Poland national football team

Croatia
1 - 0
Poland

Modric (52')
Kovacic (2'), Pjaca (14'), Sucic (40'), Petkovic (68'), Budimir (90+1'), Probierz (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bednarek (44'), Probierz (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Croatia and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Portugal 2-1 Croatia
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Spain359
2Italy304
3Croatia3-32
4Albania3-21
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 2-3 Poland
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Croatia 1-1 Poland

Croatia could be frustrated in their attempt to halt a worrying winless run, as Poland will be buoyed by events on Thursday and have enough nous to score at least once. With the hosts missing some players - and others are now a fading force - the Eagles can fly home with another point towards their Group 1 total. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 50.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Poland had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Croatia in this match.

Result
CroatiaDrawPoland
50.72% (0.232 0.23) 26.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.02% (-0.224 -0.22)
Both teams to score 46.18% (-0.21 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.9% (-0.154 -0.15)57.1% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.02% (-0.124 -0.12)77.98% (0.126 0.13)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (0.039000000000001 0.04)22.6% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.78% (0.054000000000002 0.05)56.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.67% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)40.33% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.04% (-0.276 -0.28)76.96% (0.27699999999999 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Croatia 50.71%
    Poland 23.02%
    Draw 26.26%
CroatiaDrawPoland
1-0 @ 13.55% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 10.08% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 50.71%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.12% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 23.02%

How you voted: Croatia vs Poland

Croatia
46.3%
Draw
25.9%
Poland
27.8%
205
rhs 2.0
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