We said: Finland 1-1 Republic of Ireland
While they tend to struggle on the road, Finland have won both of their last two home matches and are now faced by an Irish side bereft of confidence - but the Boys in Green do boast some attacking talent.
Both teams will sense this is one of their best chances to pick up three points, so the game could open up and end in a score draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.