Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 20
Feb 7, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadion MOSiR
Stal Mielec2 - 1Jagiellonia
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Jagiellonia Bialystok.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Katowice 1-0 Stal Mielec
Friday, January 31 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, January 31 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Jagiellonia 5-0 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, February 2 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, February 2 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
37
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stal Mielec win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stal Mielec win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stal Mielec would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
41.63% ( -0.34) | 25.56% ( 0.11) | 32.8% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 55.05% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
