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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 17
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Zaglebia Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin
0 - 3
Legia

FT(HT: 0-2)
Augustyniak (2'), Pankov (4'), Pesqueira (64' pen.)
Elitim (81')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Zaglebie Lubin and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LKS Lodz 0-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Friday, November 24 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Legia
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Zaglebie LubinDrawLegia Warsaw
36.01% (0.908 0.91) 26.3% (0.188 0.19) 37.68% (-1.098 -1.1)
Both teams to score 53.21% (-0.547 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.53% (-0.734 -0.73)51.46% (0.734 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-0.644 -0.64)73.27% (0.64400000000001 0.64)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (0.19200000000001 0.19)27.53% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95% (0.247 0.25)63.05% (-0.247 -0.25)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (-0.95 -0.95)26.57% (0.95 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (-1.276 -1.28)61.78% (1.277 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Zaglebie Lubin 36.01%
    Legia Warsaw 37.68%
    Draw 26.29%
Zaglebie LubinDrawLegia Warsaw
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.323 0.32)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.24 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.47% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.01%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.212 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.68%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia22004046
2Lechia GdanskGdansk20202202
3Slask Wroclaw20202202
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin00000000
5KS CracoviaCracovia00000000
6Zaglebie Lubin00000000
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice00000000
8Katowice00000000
9Korona Kielce00000000
10Rakow CzestochowaRakow00000000
11Gornik ZabrzeGornik00000000
12Stal Mielec00000000
13Widzew Lodz00000000
14Motor Lublin00000000
15Radomiak Radom00000000
16Lech Poznan00000000
17Legia WarsawLegia00000000
18Puszcza Niepolomice200204-40


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