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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Brentford logo

Arsenal
2 - 1
Brentford

Rice (19'), Havertz (86')
Magalhaes (10'), Havertz (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wissa (45+4')
Onyeka (4'), Jorgensen (21'), Wissa (72'), Collins (90+9')

The Match

Match Report

Kai Havertz's 86th-minute header sends Arsenal to the top of the Premier League table as the Gunners prevail 2-1 against London rivals Brentford.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Brentford.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League London derby with Brentford.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Brentford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Chelsea
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawBrentford
76.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 14.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0) 9% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
Both teams to score 52.17% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.9% (0.016999999999996 0.02)32.1% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.32% (0.018999999999998 0.02)53.68% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)6.87% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.72% (0.012 0.01)25.27% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.02% (0.0039999999999978 0)43.97% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.9% (0.0040000000000013 0)80.1% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 76.64%
    Brentford 9%
    Draw 14.36%
ArsenalDrawBrentford
2-0 @ 10.83%
3-0 @ 9.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 6.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 5.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 3.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 76.64%
1-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.66%
0-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 14.36%
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 9%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Brentford

Arsenal
83.1%
Draw
8.8%
Brentford
8.0%
249
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 13
Brentford
0-1
Arsenal

Ajer (45+1')
Havertz (89')
Martinelli (56')
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round
Brentford
0-1
Arsenal

Wissa (67'), Jorgensen (90+6')
Nelson (8')
White (41'), Nketiah (54')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Arsenal
1-1
Brentford
Trossard (66')
Toney (74')
Sep 18, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 8
Brentford
0-3
Arsenal
Saliba (17'), Jesus (28'), Vieira (49')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Arsenal
2-1
Brentford
Smith Rowe (48'), Saka (79')
Magalhaes (86')
Norgaard (90+3')
Jansson (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bournemouth00000000
2Arsenal00000000
3Aston Villa00000000
4Brentford00000000
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton00000000
6Chelsea00000000
7Crystal Palace00000000
8Everton00000000
9Fulham00000000
10Ipswich TownIpswich00000000
11Leicester CityLeicester00000000
12Liverpool00000000
13Manchester CityMan City00000000
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd00000000
15Newcastle UnitedNewcastle00000000
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest00000000
17Southampton00000000
18Tottenham HotspurSpurs00000000
19West Ham UnitedWest Ham00000000
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves00000000


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