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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Burnley logo

Arsenal
3 - 1
Burnley

Trossard (45+1'), Saliba (57'), Zinchenko (74')
Vieira (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Ten-man Arsenal rise to second in the Premier League table with a 3-1 win over Burnley, despite seeing Fabio Vieira sent off late on.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Burnley.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Burnley.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash with Burnley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Sevilla
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 69.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 13.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawBurnley
69.7% (0.137 0.14) 17.13% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 13.17% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.87% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.43% (0.23400000000001 0.23)33.57% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.63% (0.265 0.27)55.37% (-0.26 -0.26)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.34% (0.093000000000004 0.09)8.66% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.15% (0.21899999999999 0.22)29.85% (-0.213 -0.21)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (0.073 0.07)37.73% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.071000000000002 0.07)74.51% (-0.065999999999988 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 69.7%
    Burnley 13.17%
    Draw 17.13%
ArsenalDrawBurnley
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.98% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 7.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.88% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.75% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.39% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.33% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.32% (0.02 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.015 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.95% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 69.7%
1-1 @ 7.79% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.64%
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.13%
1-2 @ 3.8% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.18% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 13.17%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Burnley

Arsenal
81.5%
Draw
11.1%
Burnley
7.4%
135
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 23
Arsenal
0-0
Burnley
Westwood (25'), Brownhill (30')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Burnley
0-1
Arsenal

Barnes (19'), Westwood (29')
Odegaard (30')
Tavares (90+2')
Mar 6, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Burnley
1-1
Arsenal
Wood (39')
Pieters (71')
Aubameyang (6')
Saka (55')
Dec 13, 2020 7.15pm
Gameweek 12
Arsenal
0-1
Burnley

Bellerin (71'), Elneny (73')
Xhaka (58')
Aubameyang (73' og.)
Brady (33')
Feb 2, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bournemouth00000000
2Arsenal00000000
3Aston Villa00000000
4Brentford00000000
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton00000000
6Chelsea00000000
7Crystal Palace00000000
8Everton00000000
9Fulham00000000
10Ipswich TownIpswich00000000
11Leicester CityLeicester00000000
12Liverpool00000000
13Manchester CityMan City00000000
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd00000000
15Newcastle UnitedNewcastle00000000
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest00000000
17Southampton00000000
18Tottenham HotspurSpurs00000000
19West Ham UnitedWest Ham00000000
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves00000000


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