Arsenal

3 - 1

Southampton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 73.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.