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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Newcastle logo

Wolves
1 - 2
Newcastle

Lemina (36')
Ait-Nouri (63'), Semedo (70'), Andre (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Schar (75'), Barnes (80')
Joelinton (38'), Burn (52'), Murphy (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Harvey Barnes scores a sensational long-range winner as Newcastle United come from behind to defeat Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 at Molineux in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Spurs
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United in this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawNewcastle United
32.56% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24) 23.11% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 44.33% (0.322 0.32)
Both teams to score 63.64% (0.177 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.44% (0.279 0.28)37.56% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.21% (0.297 0.3)59.79% (-0.295 -0.3)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)22.95% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)56.73% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (0.23999999999999 0.24)17.39% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.18% (0.415 0.41)47.82% (-0.414 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 32.56%
    Newcastle United 44.33%
    Draw 23.11%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 32.56%
1-1 @ 10.27% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.61% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.24% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.86% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.56% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.29% (0.04 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.69% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.56% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 44.33%

How you voted: Wolves vs Newcastle

Wolverhampton Wanderers
14.4%
Draw
18.0%
Newcastle United
67.6%
250
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Newcastle
3-0
Wolves
Isak (14'), Gordon (33'), Livramento (90+2')

Ait-Nouri (85')
Oct 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Wolves
2-2
Newcastle
Lemina (36'), Hee-chan (71')
Ait-Nouri (83')
Wilson (22', 45+4')
Burn (66'), Lascelles (69'), Trippier (82'), Longstaff (90+6')
Mar 12, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 27
Newcastle
2-1
Wolves
Isak (26'), Almiron (79')
Hee-chan (70')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Wolves
1-1
Newcastle
Neves (38')
Semedo (28'), Neto (58')
Saint-Maximin (90')
Schar (46')
Apr 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Newcastle
1-0
Wolves
Wood (72' pen.)
Schar (56')

Moutinho (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Bournemouth622289-18
12Brentford6213810-27
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton6015312-91
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


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