MX23RW : Wednesday, July 17 16:11:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Sporting Lisbon

Estoril
0 - 1
Sporting Lisbon


Garcia (76'), Zanocelo (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Paulinho (81')
Coates (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farense 3-2 Estoril
Sunday, May 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-3 Sporting Lisbon

Estoril's home form may have been their biggest strength this season but Sporting Lisbon are the much superior side and will be high on confidence after being crowned champions last weekend, leading us to believe the visitors will be victorious in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 13.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawSporting Lisbon
13.13% (0.282 0.28) 18.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 68.23% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Both teams to score 51.03% (0.863 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.99% (0.712 0.71)41.01% (-0.708 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.6% (0.723 0.72)63.4% (-0.719 -0.72)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.34% (0.892 0.89)42.66% (-0.889 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.99% (0.751 0.75)79.01% (-0.747 -0.75)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89% (0.12899999999999 0.13)11% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.72% (0.28099999999999 0.28)35.28% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 13.13%
    Sporting Lisbon 68.22%
    Draw 18.64%
Estoril PraiaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 3.76% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 1.7% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.18% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.07% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 13.13%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.69% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 18.64%
0-2 @ 11.43% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-1 @ 10.35% (-0.29 -0.29)
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 8.41% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 7.17% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 4.64% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.95% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.098 0.1)
0-5 @ 2.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.75% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.68% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 4%
Total : 68.22%

How you voted: Estoril vs Sporting Lisbon

Estoril Praia
6.3%
Draw
9.4%
Sporting Lisbon
84.4%
32
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2024 6.45pm
Gameweek 16
Sporting Lisbon
5-1
Estoril
Edwards (21', 45+2'), Alvaro (51' og.), Goncalves (69'), Trincao (78')
Adan (82')
Cassiano (82')
Alvaro (39'), Tavares (83'), Mangala (89')
Feb 27, 2023 7pm
Sep 2, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 5
Estoril
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Ndiaye (68'), Vital (73'), Alvaro (81'), Gouveia (84'), Lea Siliki (90+3')
St Juste (13'), Edwards (21')
Edwards (57'), Adan (66'), Rochinha (78'), Coates (83'), Porro (86'), Ugarte (88'), Fatawu (90+3')
Feb 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 23
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Estoril
Goncalves (40'), Reis (76'), Sarabia (81')
Sarabia (50'), Porro (50'), Reis (82')

Ferraresi (45+2'), Joaozinho (54'), Acevedo (86')
Silva (64')
Sep 19, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Estoril
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Figueira (65'), Geraldes (90+4'), Rosier (90+4')
Porro (67' pen.)
Santos (84'), Paulinho (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AroucaArouca00000000
2AVS00000000
3Benfica00000000
4BoavistaBoavista00000000
5Casa Pia00000000
6Estoril PraiaEstoril00000000
7Estrela Amadora00000000
8FamalicaoFamalicao00000000
9SC FarenseFarense00000000
10Gil Vicente00000000
11MoreirenseMoreirense00000000
12Nacional00000000
13Porto00000000
14Rio AveRio Ave00000000
15Santa ClaraSanta Clara00000000
16Braga00000000
17Sporting Lisbon00000000
18Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes00000000


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