Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Boavista |
44.15% ( 0.45) | 27.82% ( 0.11) | 28.03% ( -0.56) |
Both teams to score 46.03% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.62% ( -0.6) | 59.38% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.24% ( -0.47) | 79.76% ( 0.47) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.25% ( -0.05) | 26.75% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.97% ( -0.06) | 62.03% ( 0.06) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.84% ( -0.78) | 37.16% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.06% ( -0.78) | 73.94% ( 0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 13.1% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 44.15% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.77% Total : 28.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 24 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
10 | AVS | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
11 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 7 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |