MX23RW : Monday, March 24 17:21:22| >> :600:1092956:1092956:
St Mirren logo
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Hearts logo

St Mirren
1 - 1
Hearts

Mandron (22')
Gogic (90+10'), Smyth (120+1'), Fraser (127')
FT
(aet)
Nieuwenhof (85')
Hearts win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Cup clash between St Mirren and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Dundee 0-6 Hearts
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We say: St Mirren 0-2 Hearts

 We cannot look past the visitors in this match due to their fine form in recent weeks - they have been scoring goals for fun lately and we expect that trend to continue here. Despite St Mirren getting the better of Hearts in their home league fixture earlier in the season, the visitors look a much better outfit now, so they should get through this tie relatively comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 26.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (8.55%).

Result
St MirrenDrawHearts
26.13% (-0.334 -0.33) 26.36% (0.238 0.24) 47.51% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.78% (-0.967 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (-1.125 -1.13)55.19% (1.123 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (-0.934 -0.93)76.43% (0.932 0.93)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.55% (-0.894 -0.89)36.45% (0.892 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.76% (-0.915 -0.91)73.24% (0.911 0.91)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76% (-0.43900000000001 -0.44)23.24% (0.435 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.85% (-0.643 -0.64)57.15% (0.64 0.64)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 26.13%
    Hearts 47.51%
    Draw 26.36%
St MirrenDrawHearts
1-0 @ 8.55% (0.165 0.16)
2-1 @ 6.3% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 26.13%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.362 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 12.36% (0.38 0.38)
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 9.02% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.39% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 47.51%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Hearts

St Mirren
31.9%
Hearts
68.1%
47
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Hearts
4-0
St Mirren
Vargas (15'), Oyegoke (47'), Wilson (86'), Spittal (90+3')

Dunne (23'), Olusanya (53'), Kiltie (84'), Bwomono (90+5'), Adeniran (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
St Mirren
2-1
Hearts
Taylor (8' og.), Olusanya (34')
Olusanya (13'), Brown (40'), Boyd-Munce (65')
Halkett (18')
Kingsley (33'), Grant (44'), Shankland (85'), Baningime (85')
> Preview
May 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
St Mirren
2-2
Hearts
Scott (7'), Bolton (65')
Tagawa (20'), Shankland (73')
> Preview
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
St Mirren
1-2
Hearts
Olusanya (68')
Tanser (82')
Grant (33' pen.), Mandron (62' og.)
Tait (45+3'), Sibbick (62')
> Preview
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
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Hearts
2-0
St Mirren
Shankland (33', 49')
Atkinson (66'), Halkett (78')

Gogic (2'), Tanser (22'), Boyd-Munce (76')
> Preview
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