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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana

AC Milan
3 - 3
Salernitana

Leao (22'), Giroud (27'), Calabria (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Simy (64', 89'), Sambia (87')
Pierozzi (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 3-1 AC Milan
Saturday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Salernitana

Salernitana have won just one away match on their way down to Serie B, and that tally is not set to increase at Milan's expense. Although they seem to have mentally switched off, the Rossoneri may rouse themselves to honour Stefano Pioli in his final game at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 82.62%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 6.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.04%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
82.62% (0.825 0.83) 11.12% (-0.394 -0.39) 6.26% (-0.432 -0.43)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-0.919 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.17% (0.182 0.18)25.83% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54% (0.238 0.24)45.99% (-0.238 -0.24)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.43% (0.164 0.16)4.57% (-0.1649 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.33% (0.5 0.5)18.67% (-0.502 -0.5)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.2% (-1.059 -1.06)45.8% (1.057 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (-0.839 -0.84)81.57% (0.837 0.84)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 82.61%
    Salernitana 6.26%
    Draw 11.12%
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
3-0 @ 10.24% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 9.96% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 8% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 7.91% (0.265 0.27)
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 6.17% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 4.88% (0.217 0.22)
5-1 @ 3.81% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.115 -0.12)
6-0 @ 2.51% (0.139 0.14)
4-2 @ 2.41% (-0.061 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.96% (0.053 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
7-0 @ 1.11% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 82.61%
1-1 @ 5.04% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-0 @ 2.09% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 11.12%
1-2 @ 1.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-1 @ 1.63% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 6.26%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Salernitana

AC Milan
89.8%
Draw
4.1%
Salernitana
6.1%
49
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Salernitana
2-2
AC Milan
Fazio (42'), Candreva (63')
Inzaghi (33'), Kastanos (44'), Mazzocchi (71'), Gyomber (74')
Fiorillo (90+4')
Tomori (17'), Jovic (90')
Leao (35')
Mar 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
AC Milan
1-1
Salernitana
Giroud (45+1')
Dia (61')
Jan 4, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 16
Salernitana
1-2
AC Milan
Bonazzoli (83')
Leao (10'), Tonali (15')
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Salernitana
2-2
AC Milan
Bonazzoli (29'), Djuric (72')
Ederson (52'), Djuric (72')
Messias (5'), Rebic (77')
Bennacer (35'), Giroud (60'), Rebic (70'), Romagnoli (83')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 16
AC Milan
2-0
Salernitana
Kessie (5'), Saelemaekers (18')
Bakayoko (24')

Di Tacchio (30'), Djuric (86')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark10101
2 Slovenia Slovenia10101
3 England flag England00000
4 Serbia Serbia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 Austria Austria00000
3 France France00000
4 Poland Poland10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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