Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an AC Milan win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
59.11% ( 0.43) | 21.05% ( -0.08) | 19.84% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 57.99% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.72% ( -0.16) | 39.28% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.38% ( -0.17) | 61.62% ( 0.17) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87% ( 0.07) | 13% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.48% ( 0.15) | 39.51% ( -0.15) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.65% ( -0.44) | 33.35% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.03% ( -0.49) | 69.97% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.62% Total : 59.11% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 19.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |