MX23RW : Saturday, November 9 20:27:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Milan logo

Fiorentina
2 - 1
AC Milan

Adli (35'), Gudmundsson (73')
Dodo (8'), Bove (90+5')
Palladino (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pulisic (60')
Tomori (24'), Fonseca (32'), Morata (43'), Reijnders (72')
Hernandez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 New Saints
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 AC Milan

Though Milan's domestic form is on the rise, Fiorentina are rarely beaten on Tuscan turf and should be able to resist their visitors from the second city. The Rossoneri are still vulnerable at the back, so the Viola can score at least once and add another point to their modest Serie A tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an AC Milan win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan
59.11% (0.43 0.43) 21.05% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 19.84% (-0.353 -0.35)
Both teams to score 57.99% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.72% (-0.159 -0.16)39.28% (0.158 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.38% (-0.169 -0.17)61.62% (0.167 0.17)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (0.073999999999998 0.07)13% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48% (0.154 0.15)39.51% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65% (-0.444 -0.44)33.35% (0.442 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.03% (-0.487 -0.49)69.97% (0.485 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 59.11%
    AC Milan 19.84%
    Draw 21.05%
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.118 0.12)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.74% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.14% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.059 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 59.11%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.33% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.76% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 19.84%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs AC Milan

Fiorentina
22.8%
Draw
25.7%
AC Milan
51.5%
167
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
1-2
AC Milan
Duncan (50')
Biraghi (13'), Martinez (24')
Loftus-Cheek (47'), Leao (53')
Thiaw (21'), Tomori (89'), Loftus-Cheek (90+3')
Nov 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
AC Milan
1-0
Fiorentina
Hernandez (45+2' pen.)
Tomori (56'), Pioli (77')

Arthur (12'), Parisi (45+1')
Mar 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
2-1
AC Milan
Gonzalez (49' pen.), Jovic (87')
Hernandez (90+5')
Nov 13, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 15
AC Milan
2-1
Fiorentina
Leao (2'), Milenkovic (90+2' og.)
Barak (28')
May 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 35
AC Milan
1-0
Fiorentina
Leao (82')
Bennacer (88')

Maleh (2'), Venuti (42'), Martinez (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan115332014618
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino114251516-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza111551014-48
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!