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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Salernitana

Frosinone
3 - 0
Salernitana

Soule (10' pen.), Brescianini (25'), Zortea (85')
Zortea (41'), Mazzitelli (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sambia (9'), Pierozzi (36')

The Match

Match Report

Salernitana are relegated from Serie A owing to a 3-0 loss at Frosinone, ending their three-year stay in the top flight of Italian football.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-0 Frosinone
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawSalernitana
60.42% (-0.314 -0.31) 21.04% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 18.54% (0.241 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.64% (0.199 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (0.042999999999999 0.04)41.27% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33% (0.043999999999997 0.04)63.67% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)13.25% (0.08 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.98% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)40.02% (0.161 0.16)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.14% (0.288 0.29)35.86% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.36% (0.293 0.29)72.64% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 60.42%
    Salernitana 18.54%
    Draw 21.04%
FrosinoneDrawSalernitana
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.54% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.31% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 60.42%
1-1 @ 9.85% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.039 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.04%
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.053 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 18.54%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Salernitana

Frosinone
74.1%
Draw
17.3%
Salernitana
8.6%
81
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Salernitana
1-1
Frosinone
Cabral (52')
Mazzocchi (48'), Lovato (81')
Romagnoli (12')
Caso (30'), Okoli (34')
Apr 5, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 32
Salernitana
1-0
Frosinone
Cicerelli (55')
Anderson (9'), Di Tacchio (69'), Jaroszynski (76')

Vitale (14'), Gori (50'), Zampano (59'), Brighenti (84')
Dec 18, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 13
Frosinone
0-0
Salernitana
Carraro (78'), Curado (90+5')
Aya (73')
Feb 29, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 26
Frosinone
1-0
Salernitana
Novakovich (72')
Capuano (9'), Ariaudo (62'), Brighenti (65')

Maistro (29'), Kiyine (58'), Migliorini (66')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 7
Salernitana
1-1
Frosinone
Kiyine (31' pen.)
Kiyine (36'), Maistro (43'), Lopez (65')
Capuano (95')
Gori (13'), Zampano (70')
Gori (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta00000000
2Bologna00000000
3CagliariCagliari00000000
4Como00000000
5Empoli00000000
6Fiorentina00000000
7Genoa00000000
8Hellas VeronaHellas Verona00000000
9Inter Milan00000000
10Juventus00000000
11Lazio00000000
12Lecce00000000
13AC Milan00000000
14Monza00000000
15Napoli00000000
16Parma00000000
17Roma00000000
18Torino00000000
19Udinese00000000
20VeneziaVenezia00000000


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