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European Under-19s Championship | Semi-Finals
Jul 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium

Spain U19s
2 - 3
Italy U19s

Barbera (58'), Regonesi (74' og.)
Fresneda (62'), Diao (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vignato (52'), Pisilli (66'), Lipani (85')
Pisilli (24'), Hasa (34'), Palmisani (66'), Vignato (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Under-19s Championship clash between Spain Under-19s and Italy Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain Under-19s

All competitions
Last Game: Spain U19s 0-0 Norway U19s
Monday, July 10 at 8pm in European Under-19s Championship

Italy Under-19s

All competitions
European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: Italy U19s 1-1 Poland U19s
Sunday, July 9 at 5pm in European Under-19s Championship

We said: Spain Under-19s 2-0 Italy Under-19s

 Taking into account Spain's route through both qualifying and the group stage, La Rojita pose the most attacking threat and boast a more solid defence than their semi-final opponents. While Italy's squad features some talented stars of the future, they are collectively vulnerable at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-19s win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-19s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Spain Under-19sDrawItaly Under-19s
51.37%23.4%25.23%
Both teams to score 57.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32%43.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93%66.07%
Spain Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94%17.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.78%47.22%
Italy Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69%31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7%67.3%
Score Analysis
    Spain Under-19s 51.37%
    Italy Under-19s 25.23%
    Draw 23.4%
Spain Under-19sDrawItaly Under-19s
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 9.35%
2-0 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 5.71%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 51.37%
1-1 @ 10.95%
2-2 @ 5.67%
0-0 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.4%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-1 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 25.23%

How you voted: 1st ranked Group B vs 2nd position Group A

1st ranked Group B
94.4%
Draw
5.6%
2nd position Group A
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2019 1pm
International Friendlies
Italy U19s
3-0
Spain U19s
Esposito (26'), Zennaro (77'), Petrelli (90')
rhs 2.0
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