MX23RW : Saturday, November 9 20:16:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 12, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
0 - 3
Pen-y-Bont


Bradford (53'), Walsh (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pritchard (1'), Venables (26'), Wood (88')
Woodiwiss (38'), Pritchard (38'), Wood (76'), Harling (85')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 3-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 4-1 Barry
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 69.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 11.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.47%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawPen-y-Bont
11.54% (0.023999999999999 0.02) 18.95% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 69.51% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 45.08% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.67% (-0.244 -0.24)46.32% (0.244 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.39% (-0.232 -0.23)68.61% (0.232 0.23)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.33% (-0.111 -0.11)48.67% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.28% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)83.72% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.83% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)12.17% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.19% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)37.81% (0.205 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 11.54%
    Pen-y-Bont 69.5%
    Draw 18.95%
Aberystwyth TownDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 4.27% (0.03 0.03)
2-1 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 1.54% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 11.54%
1-1 @ 8.98% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 18.95%
0-2 @ 13.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 12.47% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 9.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.86% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.05% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 69.5%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
5-1
Aberystwyth
Davies (13'), Borge (42'), Pritchard (61'), Walsh (83' og.), Venables (87')
Kircough (32'), Ware (80')
Torry (32')
Apr 6, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 8
Aberystwyth
0-3
Pen-y-Bont
Reynolds (45+1'), Venables (57', 62')
Owen (10'), Harling (17'), Kircough (51'), Richards (65'), Venables (81'), Borge (82')
Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Aberystwyth
Reynolds (52')
Jones (86'), Przybek (90+5')
Cadwallader (90+1')
Owen (51'), Walsh (54'), Canavan (83'), Jones (90+4')
Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Pen-y-Bont
0-2
Aberystwyth

Jones (58')
Evans (27')
Taylor (14'), Thorn (28' pen.)
Owen (41'), Thorn (71'), H (90+3')
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Aberystwyth
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Thorn (90+3')
Owen (47')
Reynolds (48', 59')
Kircough (83'), Evans (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
12Briton Ferry1422101529-148


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