World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 9pm UK
Algeria5 - 1Mozambique
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botswana 1-3 Algeria
Friday, March 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, March 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Last Game: Mozambique 3-1 Uganda
Thursday, March 20 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Thursday, March 20 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
We said: Algeria 3-1 Mozambique
Algeria and Mozambique find themselves level points at the top of the table after five matches and we anticipate a thrilling contest on Tuesday as both sides look to get one over the other at the Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium. While we expect Os Mambas to put up a fight, Petkovic's men boast a significantly superior and more experienced squad and we fancy them to come away with the desired result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 70.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 11.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Algeria | Draw | Mozambique |
70.31% ( -1.52) | 18.32% ( 0.87) | 11.37% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 46.53% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
