World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal El Alto
Bolivia0 - 0Uruguay
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Peru 3-1 Bolivia
Friday, March 21 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, March 21 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 0-1 Argentina
Friday, March 21 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, March 21 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Bolivia 1-1 Uruguay
This is a game that will hinge solely on how Uruguay adapt to the altitude at El Alto, and Colombia's troubles here at the end of last year suggest it could be a struggle. However, Bolivia have lost that spark they had a few months ago after a few humbling defeats on the road, and the disappointment of throwing two points away late on against Paraguay, who proved that visiting teams can be competitive here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivia win with a probability of 35.57%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (12.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolivia | Draw | Uruguay |
35.57% ( 0.04) | 29.67% ( -0.13) | 34.75% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 43.01% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
