MX23RW : Sunday, July 21 09:47:16| >> :600:489092:489092:
Colombia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Uruguay national football team

Colombia
2 - 2
Uruguay

Rodriguez (35'), Uribe (52')
Vargas (8')
Vargas (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Olivera (47'), Nunez (90+1' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Chile 0-0 Colombia
Wednesday, September 13 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Uruguay
Tuesday, September 12 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Colombia 1-1 Uruguay

While Uruguay arguably boast slightly more quality throughout their squad, Thursday certainly presents a tough test against a Colombia team who also have momentum from a fine run, and we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome in Barranquilla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.25%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ColombiaDrawUruguay
65.51% (1.114 1.11) 22.04% (-0.255 -0.26) 12.45% (-0.86 -0.86)
Both teams to score 39.01% (-1.48 -1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.74% (-0.713 -0.71)56.25% (0.711 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.7% (-0.579 -0.58)77.29% (0.577 0.58)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42% (0.13 0.13)16.57% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.63% (0.237 0.24)46.36% (-0.237 -0.24)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.76% (-1.85 -1.85)53.24% (1.85 1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.19% (-1.198 -1.2)86.8% (1.197 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Colombia 65.51%
    Uruguay 12.45%
    Draw 22.04%
ColombiaDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 15.86% (0.5 0.5)
2-0 @ 14.25% (0.51 0.51)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-0 @ 8.54% (0.34 0.34)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.84% (0.169 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 65.51%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-0 @ 8.83% (0.239 0.24)
2-2 @ 2.83% (-0.213 -0.21)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-2 @ 3.15% (-0.253 -0.25)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 12.45%

How you voted: Colombia vs Uruguay

Colombia
41.3%
Draw
31.3%
Uruguay
27.5%
80
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2021 12am
Group Stage
Uruguay
0-0
Colombia
Bentancur (15')
Uribe (50'), Cuadrado (63'), Mojica (90')
Jul 3, 2021 11pm
Quarter-Finals
Uruguay
0-0
Colombia
Colombia win 4-2 on penalties
Godin (35')
Nov 13, 2020 8.30pm
Group Stage
Colombia
0-3
Uruguay

Mina (20'), Diaz (72'), Lerma (74'), Cardona (76')
Mina (90')
Cavani (5'), Suarez (54' pen.), Nunez (73')
Nandez (49')
Jun 28, 2014 9pm
Round of 16
Colombia
2-0
Uruguay
Rodriguez (28', 50')
Armero (78')

Maria Gimenez (55'), Lugano (776')
rhs 2.0
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