MX23RW : Saturday, April 19 02:23:45| >> :600:131338:131338:
Egypt national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 7pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
Sierra Leone national football team

Egypt
1 - 0
Sierra Leone

Sayed (45+2')
Attia (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dumbuya (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Egypt and Sierra Leone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-2 Egypt
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Sierra Leone 3-1 Guinea-Bissau
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Egypt 2-0 Sierra Leone

Egypt head into this clash as firm favourites, given their impressive campaign and attacking firepower, which is expected to overwhelm Sierra Leone, whose defensive frailties have seen them concede six times in the qualifiers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result
EgyptDrawSierra Leone
69.07% (-0.735 -0.73) 18.86% (0.441 0.44) 12.07% (0.288 0.29)
Both teams to score 47.06% (-0.549 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.41% (-1.23 -1.23)44.59% (1.225 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.04% (-1.201 -1.2)66.96% (1.195 1.2)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.2% (-0.55000000000001 -0.55)11.79% (0.545 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.99% (-1.182 -1.18)37% (1.176 1.18)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.35% (-0.291 -0.29)46.65% (0.28700000000001 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.78% (-0.222 -0.22)82.22% (0.218 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 69.05%
    Sierra Leone 12.07%
    Draw 18.86%
EgyptDrawSierra Leone
2-0 @ 12.56% (0.12 0.12)
1-0 @ 11.75% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.96% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-0 @ 4.79% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.075 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.05% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.56% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 69.05%
1-1 @ 8.97% (0.208 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.286 0.29)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 18.86%
0-1 @ 4.2% (0.186 0.19)
1-2 @ 3.42% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.6% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 12.07%

How you voted: Egypt vs Sierra Leone

Egypt
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
Sierra Leone
9.1%
44
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2023 4pm
Group Stage
Sierra Leone
0-2
Egypt

Fornah (48')
Fornah (38'), Kabia (90+9')
Trezeguet (18', 62')
Fathi (55')
rhs 2.0
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