MX23RW : Tuesday, April 22 01:03:34| >> :600:385727:385727:
Ethiopia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 9pm UK
Stade Larbi Zaouli
Egypt national football team

Ethiopia
0 - 2
Egypt

FT(HT: 0-2)
Salah (31'), Sayed (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ethiopia and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Congo DR 1-2 Ethiopia
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 1-1 Botswana
Tuesday, November 19 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Ethiopia 0-2 Egypt

Egypt head into this clash as clear favourites, having impressed in their campaign so far, while the neutral venue limits Ethiopia's home advantage. Additionally, the North Africans boast a potent attacking force, with several players in top form, which could prove too much for the opposition's defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 70.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 9.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.21%) and 0-3 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.32%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Egypt in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result
EthiopiaDrawEgypt
9.28% (-0.1449 -0.14) 20.47% (-0.194 -0.19) 70.25% (0.33999999999999 0.34)
Both teams to score 33.65% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.32% (0.311 0.31)57.68% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.56% (0.245 0.25)78.44% (-0.244 -0.24)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.81% (-0.122 -0.12)60.18% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.25% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)90.74% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (0.217 0.22)15.49% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.63% (0.402 0.4)44.37% (-0.4 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Ethiopia 9.28%
    Egypt 70.24%
    Draw 20.47%
EthiopiaDrawEgypt
1-0 @ 4.73% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-1 @ 2.24% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 1.2% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 9.28%
0-0 @ 9.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-1 @ 8.83% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.47%
0-1 @ 17.38% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
0-2 @ 16.21% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 10.08% (0.106 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.12% (0.033 0.03)
0-4 @ 4.7% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.39% (0.033 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.75% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 70.24%

How you voted: Ethiopia vs Egypt

Ethiopia
21.2%
Draw
6.1%
Egypt
72.7%
33
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Egypt
1-0
Ethiopia
Fathi (37')
Mohamed (55'), El Shenawy (90+2')

Panomo (90+5')
Jun 9, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Ethiopia
2-0
Egypt
Hotessa (21'), Bekele (39')
Panomo (24'), Debebe (90+1')

Mostafa Lasheen (56'), Kamal (75'), (77')
rhs 2.0
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