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World Cup
Iran national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 25, 2025 at 4pm UK
Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Uzbekistan national football team

Iran
vs.
Uzbekistan

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
Last Game: Iran 2-0 UAE
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Qatar vs. Iran
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Uzbekistan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-0 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: UAE vs. Uzbekistan
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Iran 2-1 Uzbekistan

 Both sides know that a draw could be enough to qualify automatically, and Tuesday's clash will likely be a cautious affair. Though Iran do not have to win to advance, it is hard to look past their impressive form of late, and they may emerge triumphant against Uzbekistan. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iran win with a probability of 47.97%. A draw has a probability of 26.2% and a win for Uzbekistan has a probability of 25.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Uzbekistan win it is 0-1 (8.37%).

Result
IranDrawUzbekistan
47.97% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 26.15% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 25.88% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.2% (0.388 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.453 0.45)54.55% (-0.45 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.375 0.38)75.9% (-0.374 -0.37)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (0.18100000000001 0.18)22.76% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.56% (0.267 0.27)56.44% (-0.265 -0.27)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.69% (0.354 0.35)36.31% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9% (0.357 0.36)73.1% (-0.355 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Iran 47.97%
    Uzbekistan 25.88%
    Draw 26.15%
IranDrawUzbekistan
1-0 @ 12.23% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.05% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 47.97%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.37% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.24% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 25.88%

How you voted: Iran vs Uzbekistan

Iran
61.9%
Draw
21.4%
Uzbekistan
16.7%
42
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 3pm
Third Round
Uzbekistan
0-0
Iran
Sayfiyev (19'), Khamrobekov (30'), Ashurmatov (90+7')
Hardani (57'), Ghoddos (66')
> Preview
Jun 11, 2024 6pm
Second Round
Iran
0-0
Uzbekistan
Hardani (90')
Khusanov (17')
> Preview
Nov 21, 2023 1pm
Second Round
Uzbekistan
2-2
Iran
Urunov (52'), Sergeev (83')
Aliqulov (3'), Katanec (4'), Sayfiyev (76')
Rezaeian (14'), Taremi (38')
Kanani (48'), Karimi (80')
Oct 8, 2020 2pm
Friendlies 1
Uzbekistan
1-2
Iran
Shomurodov (53')
Tukhtakhujaev (77')
Azmoun (44'), Taremi (51' pen.)
(86')
Sep 11, 2018 4pm
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
0-1
Iran

Sayfiyev (43')
Torabi (67')
Mohammadi (93')
rhs 2.0
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