MX23RW : Friday, April 18 11:43:12| >> :120:78505:78505:
Japan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 25, 2025 at 10.35am UK
 
Saudi Arabia national football team

Japan
vs.
Saudi Arabia

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Japan 2-0 Bahrain
Thursday, March 20 at 10.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Australia vs. Japan
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-0 China
Thursday, March 20 at 6.15pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Bahrain vs. Saudi Arabia
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Japan 2-1 Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia will be desperate to pick up a positive result to boost their World Cup qualification hopes, but we think that they will find it difficult to take anything from Tuesday's fixture, considering that Japan have won 12 of their 13 matches in the current qualifying cycle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 65.52%. A draw has a probability of 19.1% and a win for Saudi Arabia has a probability of 15.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it is 1-2 (4.35%).

Result
JapanDrawSaudi Arabia
65.52% (2.041 2.04) 19.06% (-0.897 -0.9) 15.42% (-1.142 -1.14)
Both teams to score 55.84% (0.506 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.22% (1.946 1.95)37.78% (-1.943 -1.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.97% (2.053 2.05)60.03% (-2.05 -2.05)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.21% (1.109 1.11)10.79% (-1.106 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.19% (2.411 2.41)34.81% (-2.407 -2.41)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.6% (-0.211 -0.21)37.4% (0.21400000000001 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.81% (-0.21 -0.21)74.18% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Japan 65.51%
    Saudi Arabia 15.42%
    Draw 19.06%
JapanDrawSaudi Arabia
2-0 @ 10% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.433 -0.43)
3-0 @ 7.43% (0.31 0.31)
3-1 @ 7.3% (0.264 0.26)
4-0 @ 4.13% (0.346 0.35)
4-1 @ 4.07% (0.319 0.32)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.11 0.11)
4-2 @ 2% (0.146 0.15)
5-0 @ 1.84% (0.228 0.23)
5-1 @ 1.81% (0.215 0.22)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 65.51%
1-1 @ 8.84% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.388 -0.39)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.06%
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.262 -0.26)
0-1 @ 3.97% (-0.407 -0.41)
0-2 @ 1.95% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 15.42%

How you voted: Japan vs Saudi Arabia

Japan
83.8%
Draw
14.7%
Saudi Arabia
1.5%
68
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 7pm
Third Round
Saudi Arabia
0-2
Japan

Abdulhamid (70')
Kamada (14'), Ogawa (81')
Minamino (28'), Machida (62')
Feb 1, 2022 10.14am
Third Round
Japan
2-0
Saudi Arabia
Minamino (32'), Ito (50')
Itakura (21')

Albulayhi (4'), Babhir (74')
Oct 7, 2021 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool32237274314376
2Arsenal321712357273063
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle32185961402159
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest32176951381357
5Manchester CityMan City32167962422055
6Chelsea32159856391754
7Aston Villa3215984946354
8Bournemouth321391052401248
9Fulham32139104743448
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32121285149248
11Brentford32127135248443
12Crystal Palace321110114145-443
13Everton32814103438-438
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd32108143845-738
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs321141760491137
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32105174761-1435
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3298153654-1835
18Ipswich TownIpswich3249193367-3421
19Leicester CityLeicester3246222772-4518
20Southampton3224262377-5410


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!