World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Manuel Ferreira
Paraguay1 - 0Chile
Alderete (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolivia 2-2 Paraguay
Tuesday, November 19 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, November 19 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Chile 6-1 Panama
Saturday, February 8 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, February 8 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
We said: Paraguay 0-0 Chile
It is very easy to predict a 0-0 when Paraguay are involved, despite coming to life in November, but there is very little to separate these two when looking at their recent form, and it could well be a tense battle in Asuncion. A draw would not be a bad result for either side, as it should keep Paraguay in a comfortable position in the top six, while any point on the road will be most welcome for Chile, who do need to maximise the output from their final few home encounters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 45.02%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Chile had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paraguay in this match.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | Chile |
45.02% ( 1.62) | 28.86% ( -0.06) | 26.12% ( -1.55) |
| Both teams to score 42.15% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
