World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Reunification
Uganda1 - 0Guinea
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Uganda and Guinea.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mozambique 3-1 Uganda
Thursday, March 20 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Thursday, March 20 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 41.79%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 28.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uganda in this match.
| Result | ||
| Uganda | Draw | Guinea |
41.79% ( 0.81) | 30.14% ( -0.43) | 28.07% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 40.2% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
