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World Cup
Venezuela national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
Brazil national football team

Venezuela
1 - 1
Brazil

Segovia (46')
Murillo (34'), Romo (59'), Casseres Jr (82'), Segovia (86')
Gonzalez (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raphinha (43')
Vanderson (36'), Martinelli (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Venezuela and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for their World Cup qualifying clash away to Venezuela on Thursday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezuela

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Paraguay 2-1 Venezuela
Wednesday, October 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina101422
2Colombia10719
3Uruguay10716
4Brazil10616
5Ecuador10216
6Paraguay10013
7Bolivia10-1012
8Venezuela10-211
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

Brazil

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Brazil 4-0 Peru
Wednesday, October 16 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina101422
2Colombia10719
3Uruguay10716
4Brazil10616
5Ecuador10216
6Paraguay10013
7Bolivia10-1012
8Venezuela10-211
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

We said: Venezuela 1-2 Brazil

 Wins were expected last month, and if they did not arrive, Dorival Junior would have been in big trouble, but actually getting those six points on the board was hugely important and should calm the nerves and allow Brazil to sail through the rest of this qualifying campaign. Venezuela are yet to lose at home in this section, but form has tailed off in general and they will do very well to overcome a strong, but albeit inconsistent, Brazil side here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
VenezuelaDrawBrazil
21.36% (-0.642 -0.64) 25.98% (-0.486 -0.49) 52.66% (1.129 1.13)
Both teams to score 45.02% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39% (1.081 1.08)57.6% (-1.081 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (0.849 0.85)78.38% (-0.849 -0.85)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.7% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)42.3% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.31% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)78.69% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.03% (0.94500000000001 0.95)21.97% (-0.944 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.73% (1.411 1.41)55.27% (-1.411 -1.41)
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 21.36%
    Brazil 52.66%
    Draw 25.98%
VenezuelaDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 8% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-1 @ 5.21% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.44% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.13% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 21.36%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 9.29% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 3.95% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 14.08% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 10.67% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.129 0.13)
0-3 @ 5.39% (0.229 0.23)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.192 0.19)
0-4 @ 2.04% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 2% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 52.66%

How you voted: Venezuela vs Brazil

Venezuela
16.6%
Draw
13.4%
Brazil
70.1%
157
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
1-1
Venezuela
Magalhaes (50')
Richarlison (56'), Andre (83')
Bello (85')
Herrera (31'), Rincon (33')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2021 12.30am
Group Stage
Venezuela
1-3
Brazil
Bello (80'), Hernandez (88')
Marquinhos (60')
> Preview
Jun 13, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Brazil
3-0
Venezuela
Marquinhos (23'), Neymar (64' pen.), Barbosa (89')
Lodi (38'), Barbosa (66')

Manzano (69'), Mago (80')
> Preview
Nov 14, 2020 12.30am
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Brazil
1-0
Venezuela
> Preview
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Venezuela
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