MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 10:32:57| >> :120:13235:13235:
Dortmund logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
PSG logo

Dortmund
1 - 1
PSG

Adeyemi (51')
Hummels (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain

Clean sheet-less away from home in the Champions League for over three years, PSG will likely have to fight fire with fire once again if they are to keep their dreams of a first top-level European crown alive, but Enrique has the resources at his disposal to do so. While PSG could take a leaf out of Dortmund's defensive playbook in Group H, the hosts' recent domestic plight and plethora of absentees has us siding with Les Parisiens to ensure a path to the last 16, with a first-placed finish to boot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.73%) and 2-3 (4.99%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawParis Saint-Germain
32.83% (-1.094 -1.09) 20.93% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 46.25% (1.03 1.03)
Both teams to score 72.25% (-0.741 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.57% (-0.773 -0.77)26.43% (0.778 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.24% (-0.996 -1)46.76% (1 1)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87)17.49% (0.872 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52% (-1.541 -1.54)48% (1.545 1.54)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.57% (0.025999999999996 0.03)12.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.66% (0.048000000000002 0.05)38.34% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 32.83%
    Paris Saint-Germain 46.25%
    Draw 20.93%
Borussia DortmundDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.89% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-0 @ 3.79% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 3.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-3 @ 1.26% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 32.83%
1-1 @ 7.9% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 7.18% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 2.9% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-0 @ 2.17% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.93%
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 5.73% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 4.99% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.235 0.24)
0-1 @ 4.53% (0.222 0.22)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.166 0.17)
1-4 @ 2.99% (0.071 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.088 0.09)
3-4 @ 1.51% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.25% (0.031 0.03)
2-5 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 46.25%

How you voted: Dortmund vs PSG

Borussia Dortmund
22.3%
Draw
21.3%
Paris Saint-Germain
56.3%
197
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
PSG
2-0
Dortmund
Mbappe (49' pen.), Hakimi (58')

Schlotterbeck (66'), Can (67'), Ryerson (90')
Mar 11, 2020 8pm
Round of 16
PSG
2-0
Dortmund
Feb 18, 2020 8pm
Round of 16
Dortmund
2-1
PSG
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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