Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
Swedbank Stadion, Malm
Malmo1 - 1Zenit
FT(HT: 1-0)
We said: Malmo 1-2 Zenit St Petersburg
Malmo will surely get off the mark in terms of goals on Tuesday night, but their visitors' attacking potential can cause them more problems after a dominant display when the teams met in September. For that reason, the Swedish champions will go down to a fifth consecutive defeat; sending Zenit through to the Europa League knockout rounds as a result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Malmo win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 34.8% | 25.01% | 40.19% |
| Both teams to score 57.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
