Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 1st Leg
Mar 11, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera
Wanderers2 - 1Cerro Largo
Rivero (74'), Riolfo (79')
Garcia (35'), Rivero (52'), Aguirre (68')
Garcia (35'), Rivero (52'), Aguirre (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Onetto (51')
Lima (30'), Max (67'), Casiani (69'), Villar (76')
Lima (30'), Max (67'), Casiani (69'), Villar (76')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Cerro Largo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wanderers 1-2 Boston River
Monday, June 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | -2 | 20 |
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Montevideo City Torque | 15 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 15 | -16 | 12 |
| 15 | Cerrito | 15 | -13 | 11 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 46.74% | 24.88% | 28.38% |
| Both teams to score 55.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
