MX23RW : Wednesday, June 11 23:33:35| >> :600:578909:578909:
Malawi national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jun 10, 2025 at 5pm UK
 
Angola national football team

Malawi
0 - 1
Angola


Chirwa (44'), Mpokera (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nteka (48')
Keliano (11'), Zini (54')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Malawi and Angola.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Namibia 0-0 Malawi
Sunday, June 8 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Angola 4-0 Lesotho
Sunday, June 8 at 11am in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 42.97%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.34%), while for a Malawi win it was 1-0 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Angola in this match.

Result
MalawiDrawAngola
26.19% (-0.176 -0.18) 30.85% (-0.109 -0.11) 42.97% (0.288 0.29)
Both teams to score 37.64% (0.143 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.76% (0.222 0.22)69.24% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.25% (0.144 0.14)86.75% (-0.142 -0.14)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)44.4% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.55% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)80.45% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Angola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.28699999999999 0.29)32.31% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (0.322 0.32)68.81% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Malawi 26.18%
    Angola 42.96%
    Draw 30.84%
MalawiDrawAngola
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 5.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.73% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 26.18%
0-0 @ 14.34% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.02% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 30.84%
0-1 @ 16.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.16% (0.068 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 42.96%

rhs 2.0
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