MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 19:52:40| >> :60:170:170:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Jul 30, 2022 at 2.31pm UK
Waldstadion an der Kaiserlinde
Leverkusen logo

Elversberg
4 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Rochelt (2'), Koffi (17' pen.), Schnellbacher (37'), Conrad (74')
Mustafa (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Hlozek (5'), Aranguiz (30'), Schick (89')
Diaby (64'), Demirbay (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFB-Pokal clash between Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Elversberg 2-2 Mainz 05 (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, August 8 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
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We said: Elversberg 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen

It is hard to see a world in which Leverkusen do not come out from this fixture with a place in the Pokal second round. Expect a comfortable victory for Leverkusen, despite Elversberg's notoriety as Pokal giant-killers in the past. - Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Elversberg has a probability of 30.92% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Elversberg win is 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.94%).

Result
ElversbergDrawBayer Leverkusen
30.92% (0.68 0.68) 23.8% (0.099 0.1) 45.28% (-0.781 -0.78)
Both teams to score 60.32% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41% (-0.12200000000001 -0.12)41.59% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01% (-0.124 -0.12)63.99% (0.122 0.12)
Elversberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (0.374 0.37)25.88% (-0.376 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.13% (0.502 0.5)60.86% (-0.504 -0.5)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (-0.367 -0.37)18.62% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.08% (-0.62 -0.62)49.91% (0.618 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Elversberg 30.92%
    Bayer Leverkusen 45.28%
    Draw 23.79%
ElversbergDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.111 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.51% (0.104 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.4% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 30.92%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.82% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.17% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 45.28%

How you voted: Elversberg vs B. Leverkusen

Elversberg
18.2%
Draw
4.5%
Bayer Leverkusen
77.3%
22
rhs 2.0
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