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EFL Cup
Exeter City
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Crawley Town

Exeter
2 - 1
Crawley

Taylor (73'), Scott (84')
Caldwell (0'), Aimson (51'), Diabate (81'), Rankine (90+8'), Richards (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lolas (15')
Omole (18'), Mukena (40'), Henry (71'), Johnson (76'), Fish (81'), Lolas (90+3')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Exeter City and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Wycombe 0-3 Exeter
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 1-0 Bradford
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town
40.17% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 25.04% (0.0030000000000001 0) 34.79% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.9% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)46.1% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.6% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)68.4% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18% (0.0019999999999953 0)22.82% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.47% (0.0020000000000024 0)56.53% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)25.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)60.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 40.17%
    Crawley Town 34.79%
    Draw 25.04%
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.17%
1-1 @ 11.77%
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
1-2 @ 8% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 7.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.79%

How you voted: Exeter vs Crawley

Exeter City
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Crawley Town
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Exeter
2-1
Crawley
Dieng (31', 44')
Appiah (45+6')
Tsaroulla (26'), Yems (45'), Tilley (79')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
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Appiah (31')
Nadesan (22'), Hessenthaler (45+4')
Nadesan (43')
Jay (54'), Atangana (56'), Nombe (90')
Atangana (45+4'), Nombe (83')
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Gameweek 32
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2-1
Crawley
Taylor (77'), Bowman (84')
Watters (40')
Frost (45')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Exeter
1-1
Crawley
Dickenson (82')
Moxey (42')
Nadesan (34')
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