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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
34.11% ( 0.02) | 23.95% ( 0.01) | 41.94% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 61.11% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.89% ( -0.06) | 41.11% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.5% ( -0.06) | 63.5% ( 0.06) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.24% ( -0.02) | 23.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.1% ( -0.02) | 57.89% ( 0.02) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.15% ( -0.05) | 19.85% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.06% ( -0.07) | 51.94% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.11% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 41.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
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