Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Goffertstadion
Nijmegen3 - 1Heracles
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, January 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, January 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-4 Ajax
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie
We said: NEC 3-1 Heracles
Heracles have conceded the most goals of any Eredivisie team this season, and we can see them enduring another defensive collapse here en route to a disappointing defeat in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for NEC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for NEC.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Heracles |
50.87% ( 1.33) | 21.83% ( -0.37) | 27.29% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 64.9% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
