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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Fortuna Sittard

RKC Waalwijk
3 - 1
Sittard

Kramer (76'), Lobete (86'), Jozefzoon (90')
Nieuwpoort (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yilmaz (49')
Velazquez (52'), Embalo (59'), Cordoba (71'), Yilmaz (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-1 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, February 12 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 0-1 Sittard
Saturday, February 11 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-0 Fortuna Sittard

Both teams have been defensively solid of late, so we are expecting a low-scoring affair in this one. That said, we are also backing the home side to just about get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawFortuna Sittard
51.92% (2.552 2.55) 23.51% (-0.676 -0.68) 24.58% (-1.871 -1.87)
Both teams to score 56.19% (0.387 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.26% (1.378 1.38)44.74% (-1.372 -1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (1.313 1.31)67.1% (-1.308 -1.31)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (1.5 1.5)17.25% (-1.495 -1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.44% (2.569 2.57)47.56% (-2.564 -2.56)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.773 -0.77)32.1% (0.778 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (-0.887 -0.89)68.58% (0.892 0.89)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 51.92%
    Fortuna Sittard 24.58%
    Draw 23.5%
RKC WaalwijkDrawFortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.163 0.16)
2-0 @ 8.55% (0.322 0.32)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.36 0.36)
3-0 @ 5.01% (0.417 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.14 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.269 0.27)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.278 0.28)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 51.92%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.36 -0.36)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.335 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.524 -0.52)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.341 -0.34)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.381 -0.38)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 24.58%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Sittard

RKC Waalwijk
77.8%
Draw
20.0%
Fortuna Sittard
2.2%
45
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 5.45pm
Jan 23, 2022 7pm
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Sittard
Gaari (2'), Kramer (19')
Adewoye (52'), Kramer (64')
Seuntjens (65' pen.)
Janssen (23'), Tirpan (45+1'), Pinto (90'), Rienstra (90+1')
Aug 27, 2021 7pm
Sittard
2-2
RKC Waalwijk
Baghdadi (23'), Seuntjens (68')
Angha (71')
Kramer (38', 55')
Odgaard (12')
Jan 27, 2021 7pm
Dec 22, 2020 3.30pm
Sittard
2-1
RKC Waalwijk
Polter (45'), Semedo (90+2')
Seuntjens (9'), Janssen (56'), Semedo (90+2')
Stokkers (15')
Lamprou (45+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002542121
2AZ AlkmaarAZ75111741316
3FC UtrechtUtrecht6510116516
4FC Twente7421135814
5Ajax5311103710
6Feyenoord6240126610
7Sparta RotterdamSparta724187110
8Go Ahead Eagles731369-310
9Groningen723210829
10Heracles723269-39
11Willem II722310918
12NECNijmegen721478-17
13PEC Zwolle7214710-37
14Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
15Heerenveen7214916-77
16NAC BredaNAC Breda7205514-96
17Almere CityAlmere City7025218-162
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7007319-160


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