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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
39.6% | 24.11% | 36.29% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 60.98% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.54% ( -0) | 41.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.14% ( -0) | 63.86% ( -0) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% ( -0) | 21.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.11% | 53.89% ( -0) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.27% ( -0) | 22.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.59% ( -0) | 56.4% |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 8.6% 1-0 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 5.81% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.74% Total : 39.6% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
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