Fenerbahce know they can do much better than what they showed in the league phase, and after some eye-catching signings in January, Mourinho's men should still be considered as one of the favourites if they can navigate this tie successfully.
Anderlecht's league phase campaign unravelled right at the business end when they really should have sealed a direct spot in the last 16, and this is a very tough assignment for the visitors, who could face an uphill task when they take the Turks back to Belgium next week.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 64.42%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Anderlecht had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for an Anderlecht win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.02) 
