FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Goodison Park
Everton1 - 2Luton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Wednesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bolton 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
We said: Everton 2-1 Luton Town
Although Everton and Luton were forced to battle through replays in the previous round, both sides are well-rested for Saturday's clash and will fancy their chances of coming out on top in an intriguing contest at Goodison Park. Luton have already celebrated success on the blue side of Merseyside this term, but with Premier League survival ambitions placed to one side, we believe that a fired-up Everton side seeking revenge will find a way to book their place in the fifth round without needing another dreaded replay. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Luton Town |
36.87% ( -0.06) | 26.36% ( -0.15) | 36.77% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 53.01% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.27% ( 0.64) | 51.72% ( -0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.5% ( 0.56) | 73.49% ( -0.56) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.84% ( 0.27) | 27.16% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.44% ( 0.35) | 62.56% ( -0.35) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.78% ( 0.43) | 27.22% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.36% ( 0.56) | 62.63% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Everton 36.87%
Luton Town 36.77%
Draw 26.35%
Everton | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.77% |
How you voted: Everton vs Luton
Everton
62.8%Draw
13.9%Luton Town
23.4%137
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-29 20:42:04
FT
Rams
18-24
Bears
FT
Eagles
16-33
Buccaneers
FT
Steelers
24-27
Colts
FT
Saints
24-26
Falcons
6pm
Broncos
@
Jets
6pm
Vikings
@
Packers
6pm
Bengals
@
Panthers
6pm
Jags
@
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Chelsea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Aston Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Fulham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Bournemouth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Everton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Southampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
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