Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Ives Town win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Berkhamsted had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Ives Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.29%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Berkhamsted win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Ives Town would win this match.