MX23RW : Wednesday, June 11 20:35:43| >> :600:568237:568237:
New Zealand national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 10, 2025 at 10pm UK
Westpac Stadium
Ukraine national football team

New Zealand
1 - 2
Ukraine

Stamenic (59')
Bell (65'), Bindon (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hutsuliak (54'), Zinchenko (75')
Tsygankov (83'), Tymchyk (89'), Yaremchuk (90+4')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between New Zealand and Ukraine.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: New Zealand 1-0 Ivory Coast
Sunday, June 8 at 12am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Canada 4-2 Ukraine
Saturday, June 7 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
New ZealandDrawUkraine
50.07% (-0.17 -0.17) 22.75% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 27.18% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 61.41% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.99% (-0.121 -0.12)39.01% (0.13 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.67% (-0.131 -0.13)61.33% (0.137 0.14)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (-0.102 -0.1)15.81% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)44.97% (0.204 0.2)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94% (0.028999999999996 0.03)27.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.032000000000004 0.03)62.44% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    New Zealand 50.07%
    Ukraine 27.18%
    Draw 22.75%
New ZealandDrawUkraine
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.89% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 50.07%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.28% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 6.74% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.59% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.18%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!