MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 09:07:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 10am UK
Toyota Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
Reysol

Soma (55'), Yamagishi (57')
Soma (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Savio (7')
Shirai (68'), Shirai (71'), Sekine (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Kashiwa Reysol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 6 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 3-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 6 at 11.30am in J1 League

We said: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol

Nagoya Grampus have been tumbling in the league standings in recent weeks but will see this as a genuine opportunity to snap out of their funk. However, the visitors are in a good bit of form right now and will also feel that they can take something from this match given their opponents' recent performances. There is very little to separate these sides in the league standings at present and we feel there will be nothing to separate them at the full-time whistle in this match as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawKashiwa Reysol
30.63% (-0.674 -0.67) 27.9% (0.153 0.15) 41.47% (0.523 0.52)
Both teams to score 47.05% (-0.68 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.3% (-0.739 -0.74)58.7% (0.741 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.77% (-0.577 -0.58)79.23% (0.58 0.58)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23% (-0.883 -0.88)34.77% (0.886 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.5% (-0.945 -0.95)71.5% (0.94800000000001 0.95)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)27.86% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)63.47% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 30.62%
    Kashiwa Reysol 41.47%
    Draw 27.89%
Nagoya GrampusDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 30.62%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 12.38% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.192 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 41.47%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Reysol

Nagoya Grampus
45.5%
Draw
36.4%
Kashiwa Reysol
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 6am
Gameweek 4
Reysol
0-2
Nagoya Grampus

Shimamura (83')
Nagai (18'), Chang-Rae (62')
Ha (29'), Chang-Rae (29'), Kubo (37'), Mikuni (45+2')
Dec 3, 2023 5.45am
Gameweek 34
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Reysol
Junker (90+5' pen.)
Savio (71')
Savio (78')
Diego (90+3')
Mar 12, 2023 6am
Gameweek 4
Reysol
0-3
Nagoya Grampus
Junker (41'), Nagai (52'), Tatsuta (70' og.)
Jul 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 20
Reysol
0-1
Nagoya Grampus

Ominami (57')
Mateus (4')
Fujii (67'), Ishida (84'), Soma (90+5')
Mar 20, 2022 5am
Gameweek 5
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Reysol
Mateus (18')
Tiago (27'), Morishita (55')
Hosoya (6')
Moreira (31'), Savio (79'), Toshima (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!