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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
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Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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Salford City
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Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Salford City

Notts County
1 - 2
Salford City

Crowley (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McAleny (31', 87')
Mariappa (49'), Hendry (54'), McAleny (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 0-3 Notts County
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Morecambe
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-1 Salford City

Both teams have made improvements to their performances in recent games, so they head into this fixture with confidence which should make for a closely-contested match. However, Notts County should have just enough quality to edge through this one as the Magpies are focusing on making a late promotion push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.81%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSalford City
47.25% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 21.72% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 31.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 68.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.68% (0.02000000000001 0.02)31.32% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.24% (0.024000000000001 0.02)52.76% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.07% (0.018000000000001 0.02)13.93% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.6% (0.037999999999997 0.04)41.39% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)20.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 47.25%
    Salford City 31.03%
    Draw 21.72%
Notts CountyDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.56% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 47.25%
1-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.94%
0-0 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.43%
3-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.03%

How you voted: Notts County vs Salford City

Notts County
71.4%
Draw
17.9%
Salford City
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Salford City
0-2
Notts County

Ingram (76'), McAleny (84'), Watt (86'), Berkoe (87')
Berkoe (90+3')
McGoldrick (37'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (68'), O'Brien (82'), Nemane (89')
Nemane (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Bills
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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