Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
59.12% ( 0.24) | 22.04% ( -0.06) | 18.84% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 52.84% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.75% ( -0.04) | 45.26% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.4% ( -0.04) | 67.6% ( 0.04) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.05% ( 0.07) | 14.95% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.64% ( 0.12) | 43.36% ( -0.12) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.13% ( -0.23) | 37.87% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.36% ( -0.22) | 74.64% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 59.11% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.03% | 0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 18.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |