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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Aug 7, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Cincinnati
3 - 1
Philadelphia

Vazquez (50'), Brenner (55'), Barreal (71')
Cameron (34'), Acosta (54'), Hagglund (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aaronson (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-3 Philadelphia Union

Cincinnati fans are sick of the sight of stalemates now, but most would most likely accept a draw versus the Eastern Conference leaders, whose penchant for goals should become apparent here. Carving their way through a leaky Orange and Blue backline should be an easy ask for the Union, who also have the defensive nous to end the hosts' unbeaten run at the TQL Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
36.03% (0.067 0.07) 25.46% (0.155 0.16) 38.51% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 56.07% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.2% (-0.696 -0.7)47.8% (0.694 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.01% (-0.645 -0.65)69.99% (0.64400000000001 0.64)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (-0.286 -0.29)25.8% (0.286 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (-0.389 -0.39)60.75% (0.387 0.39)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.57% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)24.43% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.14% (-0.615 -0.62)58.86% (0.613 0.61)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 36.03%
    Philadelphia Union 38.51%
    Draw 25.45%
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.176 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 36.03%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.51%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Philadelphia

FC Cincinnati
14.3%
Draw
9.5%
Philadelphia Union
76.2%
21
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-1
Cincinnati
Bedoya (17')
Burke (64')
Vazquez (39')
Medunjanin (55'), Nwobodo (57'), Hagglund (62'), Nelson (68')
Oct 31, 2021 11.30pm
Oct 10, 2021 1am
Oct 8, 2020 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
Cincinnati
Ilsinho (59'), Bedoya (73'), Elliott (80')
Bedoya (40'), McKenzie (66'), Mbaizo (90+3')
Sep 24, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
Philadelphia

Gyau (19'), Waston (47'), Medunjanin (63'), Amaya (90+4')

Bedoya (60'), Przybylko (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami31198469452465
2Columbus Crew30169560332757
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati31175953411256
4Orlando City31137115346746
5New York City FCNY City31128114844444
6New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls31101474844444
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC31119113734342
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia319101258481037
9CF MontrealMontreal31910124461-1737
10Toronto32114173956-1737
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta31810134145-434
12DC United31810134663-1734
13Nashville SCNashville3189143147-1633
14New England RevolutionNew England3094173360-2731
15Chicago Fire3279163755-1830

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake311410762471552
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles30157854411352
4Seattle SoundersSeattle31148946341250
5Colorado RapidsColorado31155115853550
6Houston DynamoHouston3113994334948
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver3013895041947
8Portland TimbersPortland311291064541045
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd31136125348545
10Dallas31107145052-237
11Austin FCAustin3199133444-1036
12St Louis City31713114658-1234
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3287175061-1131
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3153233772-3518


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