Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 71.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 11.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | DC United |
71.58% ( 0) | 17.38% ( -0) | 11.03% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 48.64% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.34% ( 0.01) | 40.66% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.96% ( 0.01) | 63.04% ( -0.01) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.94% ( 0) | 10.06% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.85% ( 0.01) | 33.15% ( -0.01) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.07% | 45.93% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.34% | 81.66% |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | DC United |
2-0 @ 12.18% 1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 9.33% 3-1 @ 7.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.82% 5-0 @ 2.46% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.62% 6-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.44% Total : 71.57% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.82% Total : 17.38% | 0-1 @ 3.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.21% 0-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.87% Total : 11.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |