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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
Seattle Sounders

Portland
4 - 1
Seattle

Asprilla (71'), Fogaca (76'), Niezgoda (81'), David Mosquera (89')
Chara (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ruidiaz (58')
Paulo (44'), Roldan (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 1-0 Portland
Sunday, April 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 3-0 St Louis City
Sunday, April 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 0-2 Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders have made an excellent start to the season, particularly impressing in the 3-0 victory against St Louis City last time out, and we expect them to put their bad recent record against Portland Timbers behind them this weekend. Jordan Morris has been in fantastic form, with eight MLS goals up to this point, and the striker could be the difference-maker in attack, while the defence has been solid enough to indicate Seattle are likely to get a clean sheet.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSeattle Sounders
43.12% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 25.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 30.92% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.02% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)51.13% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)72.98% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)23.57% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)57.63% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)30.63% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)66.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 43.11%
    Seattle Sounders 30.92%
    Draw 25.95%
Portland TimbersDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 43.11%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.92%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3am
Portland
2-1
Seattle
Asprilla (41' pen.), Blanco (51')
Blanco (11'), Williamson (45+2'), McGraw (78')
Gomez Andrade (8')
Lodeiro (20'), Leyva (23')
Jul 9, 2022 9.30pm
Seattle
0-3
Portland

Ragen (45+2'), Roldan (70'), Tolo (81')
Ragen (46')
Niezgoda (24'), Moreno (82' pen.), Paredes (85')
Williamson (6'), Chara (57'), Asprilla (85'), Chara (87')
Aug 30, 2021 3.30am
Seattle
0-2
Portland
Blanco (58'), Mora (90+5')
van Rankin (44'), Valeri (76')
Aug 16, 2021 3am
Portland
2-6
Seattle
Blanco (32'), Fochive (52')
Mabiala (54'), Zuparic (66'), Paredes (76')
Montero (13', 29'), Ruidiaz (55', 72'), Medranda (77'), Benezet (90+4')
Paulo (69')
May 9, 2021 8pm
Portland
1-2
Seattle
Tuiloma (90+4')
Loria (21')
Ruidiaz (63' pen.), Montero (79')
Tolo (17'), Delem (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami31198469452465
2Columbus Crew30169560332757
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati31175953411256
4Orlando City31137115346746
5New York City FCNY City31128114844444
6New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls31101474844444
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC31119113734342
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia319101258481037
9CF MontrealMontreal31910124461-1737
10Toronto32114173956-1737
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta31810134145-434
12DC United31810134663-1734
13Nashville SCNashville3189143147-1633
14New England RevolutionNew England3094173360-2731
15Chicago Fire3279163755-1830

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake311410762471552
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles30157854411352
4Seattle SoundersSeattle31148946341250
5Colorado RapidsColorado31155115853550
6Houston DynamoHouston3113994334948
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver3013895041947
8Portland TimbersPortland311291064541045
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd31136125348545
10Dallas31107145052-237
11Austin FCAustin3199133444-1036
12St Louis City31713114658-1234
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3287175061-1131
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3153233772-3518


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