Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kidderminster Harriers in this match.