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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Georgia national football team
Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 2nd Leg
Mar 23, 2025 at 2pm UK
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Armenia national football team

Georgia
6 - 1
Armenia

Haroyan (4'), Mikautadze (14', 35'), Chakvetadze (23'), Kiteishvili (27'), Kvaratskhelia (62')
Kashia (67')
FT(HT: 5-0)
Sevikyan (48')
Muradyan (43'), Sevikyan (64'), Grigoryan (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Georgia and Armenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Georgia

All competitions
Last Game: Armenia 0-3 Georgia
Thursday, March 20 at 5pm in Nations League

Armenia

All competitions
Last Game: Armenia 0-3 Georgia
Thursday, March 20 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Georgia 2-1 Armenia

 Georgia have a commanding lead from the first leg, and it will take a memorable comeback for Armenia to make their way into League B from this position. However, with the visitors having spent more time with their new manager, they could cause some problems for the hosts, even if they eventually lose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Armenia win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result
GeorgiaDrawArmenia
42.57% (0.047000000000004 0.05) 24.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 32.64% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.6% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.51% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)45.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.18% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)67.82% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.6% (0.0019999999999953 0)54.4% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)26.71% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.03% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)61.97% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Georgia 42.57%
    Armenia 32.64%
    Draw 24.79%
GeorgiaDrawArmenia
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.57%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.64%

How you voted: Georgia vs Armenia

Georgia
87.7%
Draw
8.2%
Armenia
4.1%
73
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2025 5pm
Playoffs B/C 1st Leg
Armenia
0-3
Georgia

Hambardzumyan (90+3')
Kochorashvili (32'), Mikautadze (37', 59')
Kvekveskiri (18'), Kakabadze (51')
> Preview
Nov 15, 2020 5pm
League C
Georgia
1-2
Armenia
Qazaishvili (65' pen.)
Aburjania (76')
Ghazaryan (33'), Adamyan (86')
Grigoryan (35')
Oct 11, 2020 5pm
League C
Armenia
2-2
Georgia
Bayramyan (6'), Mkhitaryan (88')
Haroyan (47'), Bayramyan (68'), Babayan (90+1')
Katcharava (46'), Okriashvili (74')
Navalovski (54'), Kankava (71'), Daushvili (88')
rhs 2.0
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