Nations League | League C
Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
Luxembourg0 - 1Bulgaria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belarus 1-1 Luxembourg
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: N. Ireland 5-0 Bulgaria
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Luxembourg 1-2 Bulgaria
The last three fixtures between these two sides have finished level, and it would not be a surprise to see the points shared on Friday night. However, we just have a feeling that Bulgaria will be able to shade a close match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bulgaria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luxembourg | Draw | Bulgaria |
41.33% ( 0.03) | 28.04% ( -0.04) | 30.63% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.66% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
